Maps for Parkfield
- Background Seismicity
- Moment Tensor Solutions
- Historical Earthquakes
- Special Region Maps
- Map Details
- Acknowledgements
Ah, Parkfield. For a small town (population 36), it is extremely well known in geophysical circles. The primary reason, of course, is that Parkfield is the site of the first prediction experiment in the United States.
In 1985, the USGS, the CDMG, and the State of California initiated the Parfield Prediction experiment. Based on the analysis of historical seismicity, the USGS "predicted" that an earthquake of ~M6 would occur in Parkfield between 1987 and 1993.
Although the expected earthquake has not yet occurred, Parkfield is one of the more likely sites in California for a moderate earthquake. Consequently, scientists from the USGS and other agencies has deployed a wide variety of instrumentation in order to study the area.
Parkfield Earthquakes
Parkfield Prediction Experiment
- Parkfield: Introduction
- San Luis Obispo County Office of Emergency Services: The Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment
Studies at Parkfield
Publications on Parkfield
- A UCB Bibliography on Parkfield
- Bakun, W. H., et. al., Parkfield, California, earthquake
prediction scenarios and response plans, USGS Open-File Report 87-192, 1987.
- Bakun, W., Historic Seismicity
of the Parkfield Area, California Geology, 41, 1988.
- The Parkfield Opportunity - from California Geology, 1988
- National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council Working
Group to evaluate the Parkfield Prediction Experiment,
Earthquake research at Parkfield--1993 and beyond,
USGS Open-File Report 93-622, 1993.
- Roeloffs, E., The earthquake prediction experiment at
Parkfield California, Reviews of Geophysics, v32, 315-336, 1994.
- Lindh, A. G. and M. Lim, A clarification, correction, and
updating of Parkfield, California, earthquake prediction scenarios
and response plans, USGS Open-File Report 95-695, 1995.
- Michael, A. J., and L. M. Jones, A reevaluation of the
seismicity alert probabilities at Parkfield, California,
USGS Open-File Report 95-630, 1995.
- Kagan, Y., Statistical aspects of Parkfield earthquake sequence and Parkfield prediction experiment, Tectonophysics, 270, 207-219, 1996.
Earthquake Prediction
- Can We Predict Earthquakes
- Is the reliable prediction of individual earthquakes a realistic scientific goal? - from Nature
- Earthquake Prediction: The Scientific Challenge - Proceedings of the NAS
- Earthquake Report from the New Scientist
Other information
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Northern California Earthquake Data Center
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Last modified: Wed Oct 29 08:42:07 PST 2003